Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1292.822404 1474.388859 1677.844776 1923.760972 2214.318150 2548.359152 2963.859400
2025-07-27 1024.975776 1263.186390 1556.561833 1948.812611 2466.160207 3134.599548 4079.201602
2025-08-03 879.549462 1138.360124 1476.980551 1960.839376 2648.450375 3612.574765 5107.389374
2025-08-10 795.339217 1071.398162 1451.081356 2024.873967 2894.426740 4204.921006 6415.460187
2025-08-17 727.835753 1013.922880 1424.376585 2075.311979 3118.992681 4797.049442 7855.996805
2025-08-24 668.674906 958.715433 1390.319103 2104.381251 3308.360633 5361.531198 9385.160101
2025-08-31 616.978175 907.252266 1353.382732 2120.007397 3473.160706 5910.011571 11024.493843
2025-09-07 578.820444 871.527986 1335.292055 2161.555670 3685.968855 6582.393021 13095.300230
2025-09-14 525.027428 805.074940 1259.355218 2091.948501 3682.856864 6838.786919 14348.376564
2025-09-21 479.296741 747.198984 1191.200610 2026.389171 3675.073551 7080.980124 15636.732743
2025-09-28 437.694854 692.396597 1122.644236 1951.030869 3635.161738 7245.886092 16785.526648
2025-10-05 424.369567 684.169743 1134.062551 2027.193242 3915.374764 8171.025255 20220.616798
2025-10-12 403.505153 661.686349 1118.888544 2052.148799 4097.465993 8927.536996 23537.837324
2025-10-19 384.147264 640.273360 1103.693413 2075.529751 4281.890551 9739.895163 27396.348079
2025-10-26 365.447795 618.318495 1085.056995 2088.865048 4445.063969 10538.854363 31590.973223
2025-11-02 354.875051 610.330958 1092.236642 2157.939298 4754.232298 11815.852838 38140.755432
2025-11-09 343.411948 599.619172 1092.835450 2212.402260 5037.811111 13104.288293 45518.079136
2025-11-16 330.437472 584.903160 1083.853079 2243.798285 5268.053677 14303.631927 53321.844468
2025-11-23 317.074436 568.351327 1069.484500 2260.678218 5462.965737 15453.713190 61731.385027
2025-11-30 307.217132 557.950320 1066.964208 2305.569567 5745.652095 16991.774093 73282.647152
2025-12-07 287.851597 527.043971 1018.021439 2230.369439 5667.449768 17243.797596 78186.089398
2025-12-14 270.358360 498.843060 972.791256 2159.578242 5591.307511 17488.646388 83312.183910
2025-12-21 253.321158 470.563177 925.350677 2078.250198 5470.712529 17538.972381 87379.362524